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NBA  |  Mar 22, 2017
Hawks vs. Wizards
Hawks
+7½ -115
  at  BOVADA
in 1h

5* graded play on Atlanta (757) as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game.

     Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 4* play on the line and a 1* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 4* wager using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Atlanta is a nice 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they attempt 23 to 28 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta has been money burners for their backers for an extended stretch of games. However, they fall into a very positive a situation tonight. Many times too, struggling teams, do far better when they get away from the home court pressure and media constantly asking them what is wrong with the team. So, teams that have failed to cover in 12 or more of the last 15 games and allowed 50% or higher shooting in their last game and now playing on the road are 25-15 ATS since 1995. In 2016, these situations are a perfect 2-0 ATS with the Bucks favored by a single point blowing out Phoenix 137-112 on February 4 and then the Bucks again defeating the Pacers as 6-point road dogs 116-110 February 11. Over the last 3 seasons, this rare, but powerful situation is 4-1 ATS for 80% winners.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Hawks.

John Ryan's proven algorithm has identified a High-Powered winner on today’s NBA card. This play is also reinforced by a series of SIM matching game situations with 1 sporting a 13-1 ATS record and another 22-2 ATS. This play is expected blowout potential and IT’S A DOG!

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