Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2018
Braves vs Phillies
-114 at betonline
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Phillies closed their roadtrip with a 5-1 loss in St. Louis but finished 3-2 overall and look to gain ground on the Braves in the National League East where they are 1.5 games out of first place. Rhys Hoskins hit a home run yesterday, one of just two hits for Philadelphia and that puts it into a great situation explained later. Additionally, the Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Atlanta took two of three against the Marlins to conclude a 3-2 homestand including a 10-9 win yesterday where they rallied from an 8-2 deficit and scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. That certainly is a momentum-builder for the Braves, but it can also be considered a letdown opportunity going into today. While the Braves are 17-8 on the road, the Phillies are 16-6 at home including wins in five of their last six. Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the Phillies and with the exception of one poor outing against the Nationals, he has been great. He has a 3.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through nine starts and those numbers are better at home where he possesses a 2.48 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts. Atlanta counters with Mike Foltynewicz who has a 2.87 ERA but his WHIP of 1.34 is a concern as his control is very spotty. His 24 walks are twice as much as Pivetta in the same amount of innings. The Braves are 3-13 in Foltynewicz' last 16 starts while the Phillies are 13-3 in Pivetta's last 16 starts. Here, we play on home teams after a game where they had two or less hits, starting a pitcher who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (954) Philadelphia Phillies

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2018
Lightning vs Capitals
-124 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Game of the Week. The Washington season is on the line tonight as it has lost three straight games following winning the first two games on the road in Tampa Bay. This is the first time the Capitals have trailed in this series which is nothing new as they trailed in their first two series as well only to come back and win those. This Washington team has differentiated itself from past versions by how it has embraced adversity, and the team rode that scrappy, resilient identity to its first conference finals berth in 20 years. This is their first elimination game of the postseason so that identity will once again come to the forefront. Tampa Bay does have the momentum with three straight wins behind the brilliant goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy as after a 6.00 GAA and .839 save percentage in Games One and Two, he has a 2.00 GAA and .943 save percentage since as the series' biggest difference-maker. Give him credit as he has been peppered with shots during this three-game winning streak and Tampa Bay has been outshot by an average 10.8 shots per game in the series which is an enormous differential. The Lightning was in this position before, leading the Penguins 3-2 in the 2016 conference final before dropping the final two, including Game 6 at Amalie Arena. Washington has not lost four straight games all season and it is 11-1-2 in its 14 games following consecutive losses. Additionally, we play on home favorites in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 192-88 (68.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (10) Washington Capitals

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2018
Celtics vs Cavs
+7 -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We had Cleveland on Saturday as it rolled to a 30-point win to cut its deficit in this series in half. That victory was one of all six games in the Conference Finals that have been decided by at least 13 points, four of which have been decided by at least 22 points. These finals are due for a close game and this could be the one as the Celtics look to rebound from a horrible effort in Game Three. They shot just 39.2 percent from the floor including 27.3 percent from long range while the typically stiff defense allowing Cleveland to shoot 48.7 percent and 50 percent respectively. All five Cavaliers starters scored in double-figures for the first in forever and we likely are not going to see that again while watching the Boston defense improve as a whole. Conversely, we will see a regression of the Cavaliers defense which has been horrible most of the season. They contested 76 percent of the Celtics' shots in Game Three, according to data compiled by ESPN Stats & Information, compared to just 58 percent on the shots they contested in Games One and Two. Boston has struggled on the road this postseason but that should be no excuse for the effort put forth and this has been an ideal spot all season long. Boston is 21-4 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season including a perfect 12-0 ATS revenging a loss of 10 points or more. 10* (705) Boston Celtics


Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

Rating Scale

Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.