Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- College Football Early Start Three Pack- Oct 21

I have isolated THREE viable side investment options from Saturdays EARLY Start College Football rotational schedule. Includes: SEC, MAC, AAC action. Get the gridiron info the books do not want you to have.  Tests 47-30 61% CFB side run! Kick off after 12 noon  et

*This package includes 3 NCAA-F Spread picks

Alex Smart Sports- College Football AAC Side Blast - UCF @ Navy

The UCF Knights visit the Navy Midshipman in AAC College Football action this Saturday afternoon. Join me as I explain how and why we cash this prime time SIDE ticket and make the books pay for taking our action. Tests 47-30 61% CFB side run! Kick off after 3:30 pm   et

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Alex Smart's - CFL Game of the Week - Bombers @ Argos -Sat Oct 21

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers visit the Toronto Argos in a Saturday afternoon Canadian Football non conference battle. Which one of these gridiron competitors has the edge? Get the info the books do not want you to have. Tests 19-9 68% CFL side run! kick off after 4 pm et

*This package includes 1 CFL Spread pick

Alex Smart Sports- CFB LATE Afternoon Start THREE Pack -Sat Oct 21

I have isolated THREE viable side investment options from Saturdays LATE AFTERNNON Start College Football rotational schedule. Includes: PAC 12 ,ACC, C-USA action. Get the gridiron info the books do not want you to have.  Tests 47-30 61% CFB side run! Kick off after 4 :00 pm  et

*This package includes 3 NCAA-F Spread picks

Alex Smart Sports- College Football Big 10 Side Smash - Sat Oct 21

The Michigan Wolverines visit the Penn State Nitanny Lions in Big 10 College Football action this Saturday night. Join me as I explain how and why we cash this prime time SIDE ticket and make the books pay for taking our action. Tests 47-30 61% CFB side run! Kick off after 7:30 pm   et

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Alex Smarts College Football Sat Night West Coast Late Steam

I have isolated some must play WEST Coast Late Steam college Football action  from Saturday nights rotational schedule. This is wise guy action at its very best and gives us a great opportunity to expand our bankrolls. Kick off after 10:30 pm et.

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Alex Smart Sports- NFL Sunday Totals Crusher - Sun Oct 22

This Sunday I have isolated just one Totals situation from the NFL board. Join me as I explain how and why we cash this ticket and make the books pay for taking our gridiron action. Tests (pending) 60% L/31 NFL run which includes a 6-3 67% current Totals conversion rate! Kick off after 1 pm et

*This package includes 1 NFL Total pick

Alex Smart Sports- NFL Sunday Afternoon Late Start Side Blast

I have isolated a viable side investment opportunity from Sunday afternoons LATE START NFL rotational schedule. There are just to many good numbers on our here side here for me to ignore this situation. Join me today and until the Super Bowl Champs are crowned and watch your ROI go through the roof! Tests  60% L/31 NFL conversion rate!  kick off after 4:25  pm et

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

Alex Smart Sports- NFL Sunday Nighter ( Side) - Falcons @ Patriots

The Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots go head to head in Gillette Stadium this Sunday night in the rematch of last season Super Bowl. Can the Falcons get their revenge and cover or will the champs win again. Tests  60% L/31 NFL conversion rate!  kick off after 8:30 pm et

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

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Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site.  

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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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*This subscription includes 3 NFL picks

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Saints vs. Packers
Saints
-4 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

I'm not going to be shy about this , two time MVP QB Aaron Rodgers, was a one man wrecking crew for the Green Bay Packers. When he went down last week vs the Minnesota Vikings with a broken collar bone, I'm sure  the Packer nations hearts were broken and the fragments flushed down the proverbial toilet on a promising season. With that said,  I'm not a fan  of his replacement Brett Hundley, and feel strongly the Packers are now at a big disadvantage despite of playing at home this week vs New Orleans. Green Bay even when Rodgers was healthy never did very well against NFC South opposition going a sub par 9-11 SU . The last time Green Bay played without Rodgers 4 seasons ago they won only 2 of 7 games , and were just 0-4 ATS at home. Note: The  Saints have given up an opponent passer rating of 56.7 during their current three-game winning streak.

Projected score: New Orleans 27 Green Bay 17

Play on the Saints to cover  

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Clippers vs Lakers
Clippers
-5 -108 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Pacific Division inter city rivals go head to head tonight  in the City of Angels. the Clippers have dominated this series  winning 14 of the last 15 meetings, including three of four last season and I'm betting these new look teams will continue a recent tradition of Clipper wins. The Clippers do have a new look, with Chris Paul gone and are now  depending on quality new additions like Patrick Beverley,  the flashy Milos Teodosic, and Danilo Gallinari and the usually solid presence of Blake Griffin & the explosive DeAndre Jordon  to continue the franchises winning ways , via a faster mode of attack that just won't stop til it drops. Meanwhile, the Lakers are a team that depends way to much on  Lonzo and Ingram to carry them and talented new acquisition Brooks Lopez that just does not know how to consistently win as was the case in Brooklyn . Its just to early in these guys careers to be put in a spot to lead a young team. With that said,  I'm willing to make a bet that the Lakers are over matched in this spot. 

Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Pacific.

 Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 19, 2017
Chiefs vs Raiders
UNDER 47 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Oakland's offense enters this home game against the KC Chiefs struggling to put points up on the board, and have  put 10, 10, 17 and 16 points up on the score board in their L/4 tilts respectively  for an average of 13.25 ppg. Everything from the offensive line to the WRs, and even franchise QB Carr is struggling and don't believe any immediate answers will come vs the Chiefs smash mouth D ,tonight in Oakland. What is also surprising for me at least is how well, overall the Raiders D, has played allowing an average of just 21 ppg, and have held 4 of their 6 opponents to 20 points or less this season. With that said, I can see the Raiders offense continuing to struggle against a D that is now ramped up after a tough battle with Pittsburgh last week, and for the Raiders D, to continue their upward momentum towards respectability which will lead to a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers are anticipating.

KCs HC Reid,  is 8-0 UNDER  L/8 after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game with a combined average of 39.9 ppg going on the board and is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 in weeks 5 through 9 with a combined average of 40.1 ppg getting scored and is also  8-1 UNDER  L/9 after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game with a combined average of 37.8 ppg going on the score board.

Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games in Week 7.Under is 24-6 in Chiefs last 30 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC West.Under is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings. The L/3 meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 36.7 ppg scored. Raiders have gone under in 4 straight in back to back division games.

NFL Road teams against the total like KC- after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 24-2 UNDER for a 92% conversion rate for bettors during the L/5 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
Memphis vs Houston
Houston
-2½ -120 at betonline
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Premium

Houston enters this game off a surprising and embarrassing loss to Tulsa last time out as DD road favorites. They looked truly asleep at the wheel in that tilt after a big revenge win vs a up trending SMU side the week before by a 35-22 count. The good news for Cougars fans is that they will take on a Memphis team that has not won here in 11 years, and play this game on home turf where the Cougars have not lost since 2014. Houston also has revenge on board for a 48-44 loss in Memphis last season, even though they put 624 yards of offense up. Considering the Tigers are off a grueling and hard fought win vs Navy last week, 30-27, I'm betting they won't have as much left in the tank in this spot vs a Houston side that is superior defensive side with 73 yard per game better stopping margin than their visiting opponents.

MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS  L/8 off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less and 8-19 ATS  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. Houston has won 18 of their L/23 revengers.

Play on the Houston Cougars to cover 1 unit reg selection

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2017
Sharks vs Devils
Sharks
-113 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The NJ Devils are playing some great hockey, but I'm not keen on them overall, and feel like they are over achieving by quite a bit , having won 6 of their first 7 games including  a5-4 OT win last night vs Ottawa. You have to remember this is a team that finished 29th in the league last year, and really are not that upgraded over last season. Meanwhile San Jose despite of starting slowly this season, is at least on paper a superior side, with momentum on their sides after finishing a 5 game home stand with a 5-2 win vs the Montreal Canadians. With that said ,I feel we have value here backing them in this spot vs a tired Devils  side that are 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on no rest and 0-5 in their L/5 meetings at home in this series.

The Sharks have allowed just one goal in their last 20 short-handed situations.

Devils are 4-13 in their last 17 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Devils are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Play on the San Jose Sharks  to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 20, 2017
Yankees vs Astros
Astros
-137 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04)

I'm betting the Astros will  stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday.

The Astros  new ace  Justin Verlander  looked good when facing the Yankees and Severino in Game 2 as he  earned the victory in a complete game.  That was the veteran rightys third win in as many 2017 postseason outings and he's not finished yet. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31 and expect his record to stay untarnished after this tilt is said and done.

VERLANDER when he starts has seen his team go   24-4   against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season  in his career.HOUSTON is 17-5   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season.

NY YANKEES are 8-18   against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season and 19-32  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Houston - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 149-71 L/5 seasons for conversion rate of 60% for bettors.

MLB Road teams like the Yankees - good offensive team - scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 58-94 for a go against conversion  rate of  61% for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Celtics vs 76ers
Celtics
+1½ -108 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The new-look Boston Celtics will be primed and motivated to notch their first victory of the season when they visit the Philadelphia 76ers in their home opener on Friday night. The Celtics not only lost their two opening games,  but lost Gordon Hayward to a nasty looking leg injury. Now their suddenly being looked at as non contenders which for now at least is a over reaction considering how early in the season it is. I'm betting Boston finds a way to get wins and will remain competitive especially against young teams like the Sixers who haven't proven anything yet. Meanwhile, the Sixer's  their opponents despite of some promise  remain a inconsistent component,  after beginning the season with a 120-115 loss in Washington on Wednesday night.

BOSTON is 30-18 ATS  L/48  road games .76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games dating back to last season. Celtics have won 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series.

teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Celtics - team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season, after 2 or more consecutive losses are 28-8 ATS over the L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for betting backers.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Cavs vs Bucks
Bucks
+2½ -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Milwaukee Bucks opened the season in top form, as they defeated last season's top Eastern Conference playoff seed on the road in Boston, despite of not playing a complete game and going cold in the second half. I really like the way this Bucks team has come together over the last few seasons, and  I won't be surprised if they knock off the defending Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers (8 new players in the lineup) in the Bradley Center on Friday night for their home opener. I actually have the Bucks listed very high on my own power rankings list, and feel that they matchup very well against the Cavaliers current roster.

CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS  L/50 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and 13-26 ATS  L/39 vs. division opponents. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the  Cavaliers  - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 34-61 ATS during the L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. ( Cleveland beat the Celtics 102-99 in their opener, the same teams the Bucks beat in their opener)

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Magic vs Nets
Magic
+2 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Orlando looked good in beating Miami in their opener by a 116-109 count as 3.5 point dogs. What impressed me is their ability to stay calm and get the job done despite of a late Heat comeback attempt/surge.   Meanwhile, Brooklyn looked defensively deficient in their opening loss to the Indiana Pacers as 3.5 dogs by a 140-131 deficit. I'm betting their defensive break down until addressed will end up being their demise again tonight. Add to that  they lost  Jeremy Lin  for the season with a ruptured patella tendon in their opener and you have a  bad news Nets team that just can't get over the hump no matter how many changes they made In the off season.

Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Magic have won six of the last seven meetings, but lost a  121-111 decision at Brooklyn last season. I'm betting they come back here with an edge and get us a cover.

Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Jazz vs Wolves
Jazz
+4½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Utah took out Denver in their opener by a 106-96 count as 2.5 point favorites, while the Timberwolves lost  on the road as an over estimated -1 chalk at the road vs San Antonio by a 107-99 count. I once again believe both teams are being undervalued by the linesmakers, and won't be surprised if the Jazz win this game outright making getting points golden in my betting opinion. There are new  talented faces in the Wolves dressing room,  ie ( Jimmy Butler, Jeff Teague and Taj Gibson, Crawford )and Utah is now a retooled team playing without the services of Gordon Hayward who left via free agency. What remains the same for the Jazz that makes them tough to play against, is a  staunch D that led the NBA in scoring defense last season (96.8 points per game) as was evident in the  opener, as they allowed the Nuggets to 13 fourth-quarter points and forcing 22 turnovers overall. Meanwhile, on the flipside, Minnesota looks to be packed with offensive talent, but here against this type of team that tampers with a teams flow, I'm betting their in trouble , as they continue to build chemistry and try gel as a team. 

MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS  L/35 ATS as a favorite .The visiting team has won 10 of the past 15 meetings. Dating back to last season  the Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA Favorites like Minnesota  - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Blazers vs Pacers
Blazers
-3 -115 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Both these teams looked offensively explosive in their first games of the season, both sides getting wins . The Blazers scored the biggest margin of victory in NBA history, beating Phoenix 124-76. That was even without  McCollum serving a one-game suspension for coming off the bench during an altercation in a preseason game, as reserve guard Pat Connaughton replaced him admirably and stopped and popped for  a career-high 24 points.  With that said,  one of these teams stood to me as being very smooth and polished , in all aspects of the game, and that was the Portland Blazers. I'm not getting completely down on the Pacers as they were impressive offensively in the opener as well with a 140-131 triumph over the Brooklyn Nets, but their defense was horrendous to say the least and soft to be kind.  It's still early and the competition limited, but from a  head to head to matchup ranking system I use the Blazers have the edge here, even though they are on the road.

The Blazers are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series . Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Portland  - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like Portland - after allowing 80 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-2 SU 92% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.

Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2017
Marshall vs Middle Tennessee State
Marshall
-2½ -117 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Marshall is a team the pundits are not paying a lot of attention to this season , thanks to last seasons miserable results . However, this season, they are in big time upswing, behind a solid defense that is ranked No.2 in the nation, in red zone defense and allowed 3 of their L/4 opponents to a FG or less and the defense overall has held 4 sides to 20 points or less this season. Tonight against a Middle Tennessee State football program that has failed to cover 9 of their L/15 as home dogs, the Blue Raiders are fade material in my betting opinion

. note: the Raiders are off a upset loss last time out to UAB, 25-23 as 4 point chalk, , HC Stockstill is 2-9 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite and also 0-5 ATS /SU L/5 as a dog following a loss as a favorite.



CFB road team like Marshall - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. are 30-7 ATS L/37 over the L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.