Bryan Power Bryan Power
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Power Sports has made LOTS of $$$ through the years betting baseball. But Monday was not one of those days. He did SWEEP on Sunday though and remains an IMPRESSIVE 58-37 for the season! Over the L3 seasons, Power is +$18,635 w/ ALL MLB

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Power Sports has made LOTS of $$$ through the years betting baseball. But Monday was not one of those days. He did SWEEP on Sunday though and remains an IMPRESSIVE 58-37 for the season! Over the L3 seasons, Power is +$18,635 w/ ALL MLB

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Power Sports is now an *INSANE* 13-4 L17 NBA Totals following last night's 10* WINNER on the Over! That also gives him a 15-8 NBA Playoff run overall! 

Never one to "sit on the sidelines," Power comes right back w/ ANOTHER TOP RATED *10* for Game 4 of Rockets-Warriors Tuesday night! It can be YOURS for as little as $20! What are you waiting for?

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2018
Rockies vs Dodgers
-173 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

8* LA Dodgers (10:10 ET): Ask any regular client of mine and they'll tell you that I'm a firm believer in a team's scoring differential being a far better predictor of future results than an actual won-loss record. This goes for any sport. In baseball, as I look at the current NL West standings, I can't help but think the Dodgers are ready to climb while the Rockies are set to fall. Though the latter currently holds a 4.5 game edge over the former, it is Dodger Blue that has actually outscored its opposition over the course of this season (+12 run differential, despite a 20-26 record) while the Rockies have been outscored by 24 runs (despite being 25-22). This series could go a long way in rectifying those disparities. I'm on the Dodgers in Monday's series opener at Chavez Ravine.

We've already started to see some "signs of life" from this Dodgers club as over the weekend they swept the Nationals, in D.C., in impressive fashion. They won every game as a ML dog, but are still "well in the hole" for the season at -23.0 units, which right there should tell you how short of expectations they've been thus far. A lot of that has to do w/ injuries. But w/ tonight being the start of a season-long 10-game homestand, it's a "golden opportunity" to turn things around. Rookie Walker Buehler gets the start tonigt and while it's tempting to say "he's only here" because of injuries to Kershaw and Hill, Buehler is proving he belongs w/ a 2.67 ERA in five starts. His last start, which was on the road, was his weakest to date. In each of the first four, he gave up 2 ER or less (just 4 total) in 22 IP. 

Colorado is a franchise largely defined by its home park and the advantage it provides to hitters, both its own and the opponents. But the last two years have seen this team perform much better on the road than in years past. They are off to an 18-11 start away from Coors Field this season due in large part to their pitching allowing an average of just 3.8 runs per game. But lost in that is their hitters are scoring just 3.9 rpg w/ a collective .221 average. Typical then is that we find tonight's starter German Marquez w/ better numbers on the road than at home. But his WHIP in five road starts is a fairly pedestrian 1.214 and that's facing some pretty bad offenses. The Rockies did lose both games over the weekend (to San Francisco) and the fact they've been outscored by so many runs this season says to me that they are not as strong as their record shows. 8* LA Dodgers

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2018
Marlins vs Mets
+1½ -175 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Run Line Miami (7:10 ET): Please note that this is a run line play only where I'm backing the Marlins at +1.5. I probably don't have to tell you that it's been a very ugly start to the season for the Fish. They currently own the worst record in the National League (17-29) and the worst overall run differential in all of baseball (-88). Not that this should really come as any real surprise. Though the franchise has two World Series victories to its credit in its relatively brief 25-year history, virtually every other season has seemed only to serve ownership (i.e. their pocketbooks) and not the fanbase. When a Derek Jeter-led group purchased the Marlins in the offseason, an immediate teardown began (yet again) and all the signs of a last place campaign were present.

Now that we've got all that out of the way, let's talk about why I think Miami can win this game! For starters, the team is a respectable 3-3 over its L6 games w/ one of those losses (yesterday's) coming by just one run (and that was after giving up six runs in the bottom of the ninth!). This is also a situation I like as they have revenge for a prior three-game sweep that took place back in April. That came at a time when the Mets were playing great baseball. They started 11-1 under 1st year skipper Mickey Callahan, but have since gone just 12-18 their L30 games and that includes a three-game sweep of Arizona over the weekend. The current Mets' win streak (three games) is their longest since beginning the season 11-1. I find it's difficult to sweep the same opponent twice in a row, especially if it's a division foe. That's why I look for the Marlins to do no worse than a one-run loss in this game.

In that D'backs-Mets series, I was 2 for 2, cashing the Mets on Friday and then the Under yesterday. In both instances, I leaned heavily on the Mets' starters, who were Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard. But I don't dare endorse Monday's starter, Jason Vargas, who comes in w/ a very ugly 13.86 ERA and 2.674 WHIP after three starts. All three have been Mets' losses and they've been outscored in those games by a combined score of 30-4! Even worse is that two of the games came against Cincinnati and San Diego, who are the "other" last place teams in the NL. So there's hope for Miami here, especially if their starter Elieser Hernandez pitches the way he did in his big league debut last Wednesday. There, he gave up just one run (on a solo HR) and three hits in 5 IP and the team beat the Dodgers as +180 ML dogs. Don't forget that the Mets rank only 26th in MLB in runs per game. 8* Run Line Miami (+1.5)

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2018
Lightning vs Capitals
UNDER 6 -120 Won
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Under Lightning/Capitals (8:10 ET): I've said it before and I'll say it again. It's pretty ironic that Washington's playoff run could very well end the same way it started. If you recall, they opened this postseason by dropping the first two games (both at home) of their Round 1 series vs. Columbus. But they stormed back to take the next four games (three of them in C-bus), then finally got over the "emotional hurdle" that was the rival Penguins, eliminating them in six games too. The Eastern Conference Finals began w/ the road team taking the first two games, only this time it was Washington turning the trick. But just like the Blue Jackets in Rd 1, the Capitals have been unable to sustain "momentum" (hate that word!). Tampa Bay has come all the way back and after the road team won each of the first four games of this series, they took back the home ice advantage w/ a 3-2 win in Game 5 at Amalie Arena on Saturday. Washington now must win this game (at home) to keep its season alive and force a Game 7, which would take place in Tampa on Wednesday. Vegas awaits the winner of this series in the Stanley Cup Finals.

I had the Under in Game 5 and it won. It was actually the first Under in the series after three of the first four games "pushed" (on the number of 6.0) and Game 2 (Capitals won 6-2) went Over. I have little to add here that I didn't say in my Game 5 analysis. As projected here, both power plays are starting to decline from the ridiculous conversion rates we saw in the first two rounds. In fact, Game 5 saw only one power play chance from either side (TB) and it was successfully killed off. No team had been better w/ the man advantage in the first two rounds than Washington, but they have zero PP goals the L3 games and are just 3 for 14 in this series. Meanwhile, Game 5 snapped a streak for the Lightning that had seen them score at least one PP goal in nine consecutive contests. 

Bottom line is that the respective power plays were on an unsustainable run of success and were "due" to come down. Tampa Bay had scored 11 PP goals in that nine-game stretch and that's pretty ridiculous even for a unit that was 3rd overall in the regular season. They are 40% w/ the man advantage in the series and 30% in the playoffs overall, numbers well above their 23.9% in the reg season. The Capitals are at 28.6% on the PP in the playoffs, but have dropped to 21.4% in the series, which is more in line w/ their own reg season performance (where they ranked 7th in the league). If there is something the hosts can lean on here, it's the fact that goalie Braden Holtby has been much better at home than on the road this year. Meanwhile, this series may represent a bit of a dropoff for Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy, but he's still allowed two goals or less in 9 of the team's 15 playoff games. 10* Under Lightning/Capitals

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2018
Celtics vs Cavs
OVER 206½ -104 Won
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Over Celtics/Cavaliers (8:35 ET): Cleveland got a much needed win in Game 3, finally providing LeBron James w/ some support. In addition to James' 27 points and 12 assists, all other Cavs' starters scored in double figures and the team finished w/ 116 points and made 17 three-pointers. That's a big change from the first two games in Boston where they scored just 179 pts total and shot very poorly (particularly from three-point range). While the home team is now 3-0 in this series, so too is the Under as the losing side has yet to score more than 94 points in any of the three games. Boston was very bad shooting the ball on Saturday, making only 39.2% from the field, including 6 of 22 on three-pointers. My guess is they'll be a lot better here offensively (remember, Cleveland ranked 28th in defensive efficiency during the regular season) and the Cavs will be pretty close to their Game 3 performance as well. Take the Over. 

Each team has been pretty dismal from three-point range in two of the three games in this series. For Cleveland, it was obviously Games 1 and 2 as they went a combined 14 of 57 (24.5%). Therefore, Game 3 was a much-needed and welcome refresher. James made all three attempts from distance, but the real key was the rest of the team going 14 of 31, led by Kyle Korver and J.R. Smith going a combined 7 of 8. Remember - role players typically perform better at home. Obviously, I'm not anticipating much of a dropoff for Game 4. For the year, the Cavs are averaging 110.5 PPG at home on 48.2% shooting. This is also a team that averages 12 three-pointers made per game for the year. 

Boston does not need to win another road game to advance to the NBA Finals (they have homecourt advantage in this series), but they need to at least start playing better on the road. Saturday's loss dropped them to 1-5 SU on the road in these playoffs and they have not scored more than 102 pts in any of those games. Four times, they've been held to 92 or fewer. But Cleveland is giving up 108.7 PPG for the year and isn't a good defensive team. It's hard to imagine the Celtics shooting as poorly as they did in Game 3 or for that matter, the last two games. They are just 69 of 166 the L2 games, 41.5 FG%, including 16 of 53 from three-point range. James defended like a monster in Game 3, but given his offensive burden, I'm not sure a repeat of that can be reasonably expected. 10* Over Celtics/Cavaliers


The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!